Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:48:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79f4…283d
other · 228 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$6 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses227 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)228 / 228
History coverage82d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit41%
Chart Positions 0 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Sato vs. Nishimura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Cyprus 3 - 3 Moldova? Jun 09 $4 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will "Justin Ellington" win Best Sound Design of a Play at the 2026 To Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Nico Hulkenberg achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 202 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Preston vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Harrison Barnes Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Dylan Harper Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Josh Hart Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
MLP St. Louis: Utah Black Diamonds vs Los Angeles Mad Drops Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
WTT - Men's Singles: Deni Kozul vs Kanak Jha Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
HUS Agadir vs. FathUnionSport: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Sumter: Whitney Osuigwe vs Lea Ma Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
StarCraft II: SKillous vs Gerald - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will Independiente Santa Fe win Colombia Primera A? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas advance from the CA-38 primary election? Jun 04 $4 $0 +1%
Centurion 2 (Doubles): Castelnuovo/Hsu vs Montsi/Schalkwyk Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be above 20%? Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Dotsenko vs. Thamm: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
Prostejov (Doubles): Pokorny/Sachko vs Ayeni/Pavlovic Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Guatemala? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth be between 7% and 8.5%? Jun 02 $5 $0 +5%
Jack Kennedy vs. Daniel Jade: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Cezar Cretu vs. Jacopo Vasami: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Broady vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 02 $4 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 1? Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 1 Serbia? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Sik vs Chabalgoity Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Czechia vs. Kosovo: Draw at halftime? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Club Universitario de Deportes leading at halftime? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 1 Winner May 31 $5 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: FRZ Unit vs F5 Esports - Map 2 Winner May 31 $5 $0 +1%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Chengdu Rongcheng FC leading at halftime? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Boston Legacy FC (-2.5) May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Will MrBeast say "Technology" during his next YouTube video? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Will Carlston Harris win by KO or TKO? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: EC Juventude 1 - 2 América FC? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: EC Juventude (-2.5) May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$4
sports 37% +$2
politics 2% $0
world 1% $0
tech 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Sato vs. Nishimura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 1h
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Cyprus 3 - 3 Moldova? BUY No 100¢ $4 3d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 100¢ $5 4d
Will "Justin Ellington" win Best Sound Design of a Play at the 2026 To BUY No 99¢ $5 5d
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 202 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Nico Hulkenberg achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Preston vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 7d
Dylan Harper BUY No 99¢ $5 8d
Harrison Barnes BUY No 99¢ $5 8d
Josh Hart BUY No 99¢ $5 8d
MLP St. Louis: Utah Black Diamonds vs Los Angeles Mad Drops BUY Los Angeles Mad Drops 100¢ $5 8d
WTT - Men's Singles: Deni Kozul vs Kanak Jha BUY Jha 100¢ $5 8d
HUS Agadir vs. FathUnionSport: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 8d
ITF Sumter: Whitney Osuigwe vs Lea Ma BUY Whitney Osuigwe 100¢ $5 8d
StarCraft II: SKillous vs Gerald - Map 2 Winner BUY SKillous 99¢ $5 8d
Will Independiente Santa Fe win Colombia Primera A? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
Will Pedro Antonio Casas advance from the CA-38 primary election? BUY Yes 99¢ $4 9d
Centurion 2 (Doubles): Castelnuovo/Hsu vs Montsi/Schalkwyk BUY Montsi/Schalkwyk 100¢ $5 9d
Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be above 20%? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 9d
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? BUY Even 100¢ $0 9d
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? BUY Even 100¢ $5 9d
Dotsenko vs. Thamm: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 9d
Prostejov (Doubles): Pokorny/Sachko vs Ayeni/Pavlovic BUY Pokorny/Sachko 100¢ $5 9d
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Guatemala? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
Will Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth be between 7% and 8.5%? BUY No 95¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 79 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 228 +0.1% -9.5% 100% 1% -9.1%
all 228 +0.1% -9.5% 100% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 1% -9.1%
10% -18.1% 0% -17.8%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 461 history records