Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T10:23:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
79 0x79f8…7ffe crypto 540 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$5 (-0%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate73%392W / 148L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day28.2pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$112
7 days−$112
14 days−$204
30 days−$235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$188
other 9% −$22
weather 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -3.7% -12.9% 61% 7% -11.5%
≤30d 540 -0.5% -10.0% 73% 21% -11.8%
≤90d 540 -0.5% -10.0% 73% 21% -11.8%
all 540 -0.5% -10.0% 73% 21% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 21% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 10% -20.3%
15% -26.5% 4% -28.0%
20% -33.7% 3% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses392 / 148
Open positions0
Markets (closed)540 / 540
History coverage23d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 540 Trades
no open positions (49 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $9 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $59 −$54 -93%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $55 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $55 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $17 +$13 +76%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $55 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $55 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $55 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $34 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $55 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $55 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $101 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $101 −$99 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $101 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $101 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $101 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $101 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $101 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $101 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $153 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $76 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $76 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $76 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $155 +$39 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $76 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $76 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $76 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $153 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $76 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $76 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 20 $70 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $9 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $59 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $55 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $55 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $55 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $55 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $55 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $55 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $55 53m
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $55 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $55 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $55 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $55 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $55 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $55 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $55 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $55 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1097 history records