Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79fb…693b
crypto · 1090 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$678 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$679 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$679
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses665 / 463
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1128 / 1090
History coverage36d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day78.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$337
7 days−$372
14 days−$432
30 days−$635
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 54¢ 92¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$21 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$383
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $6 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $6 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $7 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -64.6% -67.9% 26% 18% -76.5%
≤30d 804 -11.2% -19.7% 59% 43% -14.6%
≤90d 1128 -10.6% -19.2% 59% 43% -14.4%
all 1128 -10.6% -19.2% 59% 43% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 43% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 27% -22.6%
15% -34.0% 18% -30.1%
20% -40.4% 12% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.69 · official $1.64 (match) · 3500 history records