Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:11:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7A 0x7a00…d958 sports 741 markets active 0h ago coverage 71d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$93 (-0%) realized −$93 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate57%420W / 321L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$38per market
Trades / day23.2pace
Fees−$402est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days+$24
14 days−$97
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$461
crypto 0% −$14
other 0% +$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -2.9% -12.1% 58% 54% -8.0%
≤30d 320 -5.9% -14.9% 54% 51% -9.1%
≤90d 741 -6.7% -15.6% 57% 52% -10.9%
all 741 -6.7% -15.6% 57% 52% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover23.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 52% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 42% -19.4%
15% -31.0% 31% -27.2%
20% -37.8% 20% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$22 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

71d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses420 / 321
Est. fees paid−$402
Open positions0
Markets (closed)741 / 741
History coverage71d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day23.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 741 Trades
no open positions (60 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $31 +$17 +54%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $16 +$41 +250%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $30 +$21 +71%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $41 −$17 -42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $73 −$8 -11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $47 −$46 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $46 +$26 +57%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $27 +$6 +23%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $61 +$7 +11%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $31 +$41 +135%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $140 −$39 -28%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $120 +$40 +34%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $30 −$29 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $26 −$26 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $10 +$16 +158%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $33 +$20 +60%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $22 −$21 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $45 +$14 +31%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $41 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$17 +99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $79 −$13 -16%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 +$15 +108%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $60 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $56 +$16 +28%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $38 +$8 +21%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $37 +$12 +31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$7 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $64 −$28 -43%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$17 +33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$22 +54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $60 −$21 -36%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$25 +190%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $121 +$5 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $67 −$32 -48%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $19 +$10 +52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $36 +$21 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $45 −$44 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $31 +$5 +16%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$2 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 92¢ $24 29m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 50¢ $13 38m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner SELL Saigon Warriors 48¢ $23 38m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 35¢ $17 42m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 28¢ $16 9h
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL LYON 89¢ $52 9h
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY LYON 51¢ $30 9h
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 7¢ $5 10h
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 41¢ $17 11h
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL LYON 43¢ $20 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 74¢ $22 11h
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY LYON 48¢ $23 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 75¢ $64 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 59¢ $51 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $9 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 55¢ $37 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $72 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $35 14h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $11 14h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 23¢ $3 14h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $0 14h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $33 14h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 81¢ $27 14h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 70¢ $68 19h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 64¢ $20 20h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 64¢ $31 20h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 93¢ $72 21h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 39¢ $31 21h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $23 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1920 history records