trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $12 | $12 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AutoSleep: Watch Sleep Tracker be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App | Jun 12 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? | Jun 09 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | Jun 08 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? | Jun 07 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? | Jun 06 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Jun 05 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | Jun 03 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2? | Jun 02 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 1? | Jun 01 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1? | Jun 01 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 31? | Jun 01 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29? | May 29 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27? | May 27 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 26? | May 26 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | May 25 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on May 25? | May 24 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24? | May 24 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23? | May 23 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 22? | May 22 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21? | May 21 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.3% |