trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +49.8% | +35.5% | 80% | 60% | -2.9% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +48.8% | +34.7% | 83% | 67% | -2.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +49.9% | +35.7% | 56% | 50% | +5.9% |
| all | 19 | +34.1% | +21.3% | 53% | 47% | +5.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +21.3% | 47% | +5.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +9.7% | 42% | -4.2% |
| 15% | -0.9% | 42% | -13.5% |
| 20% | -10.6% | 21% | -22.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $1,679 | $1,690 | +$11 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $404 | +$184 | +46% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $830 | +$397 | +48% |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | Jun 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $33,055 | +$1,889 | +6% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 | Jun 14 | $16 | +$41 | +250% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | May 23 | $7 | +$3 | +44% |
| Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | May 17 | $459 | +$2,429 | +529% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $243 | +$1,021 | +420% |
| Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $890 | −$292 | -33% |
| Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian par | Apr 20 | $2,518 | +$1,260 | +50% |
| Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamen | Apr 20 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish secon | Apr 20 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliament | Apr 20 | $107 | −$105 | -98% |
| Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian p | Apr 19 | $100 | −$82 | -82% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 8? | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 19 | $11 | +$2 | +18% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7? | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 7? | Feb 08 | $8 | +$4 | +49% |