Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a19…200c
crypto · 303 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$26 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses136 / 167
Open positions0
Markets (closed)303 / 303
History coverage121d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 303 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 29? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +62%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 10 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$4 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$5 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$4 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 08 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 06 $7 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$21
sports 4% −$5
other 4% −$2
weather 3% +$2
world 1% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? SELL Up 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? BUY Up 68¢ $1 2d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $1 2d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 98¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $1 2d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 98¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -2.1% -11.4% 40% 35% -7.9%
≤30d 56 -7.1% -16.0% 39% 32% -10.1%
≤90d 211 -6.8% -15.7% 44% 29% -14.1%
all 303 -7.3% -16.2% 45% 30% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 30% -11.7%
10% -24.2% 19% -20.1%
15% -31.5% 13% -27.9%
20% -38.2% 7% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 827 history records