trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 43% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 26 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 54% | 4% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 4% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $43 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 19 | $14 | −$1 | -6% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 27 | $5 | −$2 | -32% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 23 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 23 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? | Dec 11 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 18 | $15 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 02 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days? | Mar 31 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 31 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 21 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 10 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 55°F or higher on March 4? | Mar 06 | $13 | +$2 | +13% |