Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:57:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a3f…6712
sports · 615 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,815 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$518 · open −$1,414
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,401
Realized−$518
Unrealized−$1,414
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses253 / 298
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$426
Open positions63
Markets (closed)551 / 615
History coverage8d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day362.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 63 History 551 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$118
7 days−$1,163
14 days−$518
30 days−$518
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 72¢ 84¢ $1,811 $2,102 +$291 (+16%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 64¢ 72¢ $521 $582 +$61 (+12%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 40¢ $304 $305 +$2 (+0%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 36¢ 100¢ $73 $199 +$126 (+173%)
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 5.5 Corners Under 48¢ 46¢ $202 $198 −$5 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Under 38¢ 53¢ $72 $101 +$29 (+40%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 48¢ 31¢ $155 $99 −$56 (-36%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 32¢ $123 $84 −$38 (-31%)
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco Paris Basketball 77¢ 100¢ $64 $83 +$19 (+29%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Under 70¢ 78¢ $72 $80 +$8 (+11%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 Over 1¢ 50¢ $1 $50 +$49 (+4900%)
Miami Marlins winning after 5 innings? No 1¢ 50¢ $1 $50 +$48 (+4850%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 4.5 Corners Over 44¢ 46¢ $44 $46 +$2 (+6%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 36¢ 60¢ $22 $37 +$15 (+66%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 61¢ 77¢ $24 $31 +$6 (+26%)
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Nick Kyrgios Ben Shelton 59¢ 60¢ $30 $30 +$1 (+2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 19¢ 26¢ $20 $28 +$8 (+39%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 Under 28¢ 8¢ $102 $28 −$74 (-73%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Corners Over 50¢ 39¢ $30 $23 −$7 (-22%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) Cincinnati Reds 71¢ 52¢ $28 $21 −$8 (-27%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners Over 28¢ 75¢ $7 $19 +$12 (+167%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Milwaukee Brewers 74¢ 84¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+14%)
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Germany 28¢ 16¢ $30 $17 −$13 (-43%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Los Angeles Angels 70¢ 80¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+15%)
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner LOS 72¢ 100¢ $11 $15 +$4 (+39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 −$1 -22%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $55 +$45 +83%
Nottingham Open: Iva Jovic vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 14 $109 −$4 -3%
Set 1 Winner: Sakatsume vs Dudeney Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Set 2 Winner: Hijikata vs Giron Jun 14 $2 +$3 +134%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $134 +$291 +216%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $61 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $458 −$451 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $69 −$9 -13%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Sonego vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $6 +$4 +57%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -98%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Jun 14 $52 −$2 -3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $19 +$11 +55%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 14 $24 +$6 +26%
Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs Agut Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Bartunkova vs Gauff Jun 14 $52 −$2 -3%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Coco Gauff Jun 14 $50 −$2 -3%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Türkiye leading at halftime? Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $13 +$2 +14%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $23 +$17 +72%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $26 +$4 +16%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $287 −$21 -7%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $235 −$9 -4%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $101 +$14 +14%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $353 +$124 +35%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $37 +$58 +158%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $53 +$47 +90%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5) Jun 14 $12 +$18 +158%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $54 −$34 -63%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-8.5) Jun 14 $52 +$8 +16%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 14 $51 +$9 +17%
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Jun 14 $83 +$17 +20%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $205 −$5 -2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $11 +$15 +136%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 14 $8 +$7 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$1,185
other 15% −$721
crypto 0% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 51¢ $31 5m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 BUY Under 51¢ $0 5m
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Chicago White Sox 51¢ $1 5m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $5 6m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 32¢ $2 7m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 28¢ $29 7m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 BUY Over 1¢ $1 7m
Miami Marlins winning after 5 innings? BUY No 1¢ $1 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 70¢ $71 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 41¢ $13 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 68¢ $2 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 38¢ $6 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 38¢ $6 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 37¢ $6 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 37¢ $38 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 37¢ $6 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 19¢ $20 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 35¢ $5 11m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 27¢ $3 11m
Overwatch: VARREL vs Uwinks (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage BUY Uwinks 5¢ $1 38m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 5¢ $2 38m
Overwatch: VARREL vs Uwinks (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage BUY Uwinks 5¢ $1 40m
Overwatch: VARREL vs Uwinks (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage BUY Uwinks 5¢ $1 43m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $0 43m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Over 31¢ $0 44m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Over 28¢ $3 44m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Over 28¢ $4 44m
Overwatch: VARREL vs Uwinks (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage BUY Uwinks 5¢ $1 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Over 29¢ $1 46m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Corners BUY Over 50¢ $30 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 461 +1.3% -8.4% 44% 41% -13.0%
≤30d 551 +5.2% -4.9% 46% 43% -10.9%
≤90d 551 +5.2% -4.9% 46% 43% -10.9%
all 551 +5.2% -4.9% 46% 43% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover362.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 43% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 37% -19.5%
15% -22.3% 31% -27.2%
20% -29.9% 25% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,400.99 · official $4,464.28 · 3500 history records