Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a70…beb6
crypto · 1226 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,890 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,890 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,890
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses956 / 270
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1226 / 1226
History coverage75d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day34.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$32
14 days−$822
30 days−$1,203
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 02 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 02 $25 −$13 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 02 $15 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 02 $24 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 02 $20 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 02 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 02 $20 −$6 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $24 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $20 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 02 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 02 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 02 $25 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 02 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 02 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 02 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 02 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 02 $20 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 02 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 02 $15 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 02 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 02 $20 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 02 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 02 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 02 $20 −$10 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 02 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 02 $15 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 02 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 02 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 02 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 02 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 02 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 02 $20 −$8 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 02 $25 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 02 $15 −$9 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 02 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 02 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 02 $25 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,890
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $16 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $11 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $9 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $21 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $24 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $16 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $26 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $24 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $13 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $26 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $24 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $14 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -24.9% -32.0% 38% 38% -68.8%
≤30d 331 -5.2% -14.2% 65% 41% -15.6%
≤90d 1226 -4.5% -13.6% 78% 22% -12.3%
all 1226 -4.5% -13.6% 78% 22% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 22% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 9% -20.7%
15% -29.4% 4% -28.3%
20% -36.3% 2% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records