Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:46:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a7c…da5f
crypto · 10 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses6 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -3.7% -12.9% 60% 30% -22.0%
≤30d 10 -3.7% -12.9% 60% 30% -22.0%
≤90d 10 -3.7% -12.9% 60% 30% -22.0%
all 10 -3.7% -12.9% 60% 30% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 30% -22.0%
10% -21.2% 30% -29.4%
15% -28.8% 0% -36.2%
20% -35.8% 0% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 20 history records