Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:41:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7A 0x7a8c…2c73 crypto 384 markets active 23h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (74 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$74 (-10%) realized −$74 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate32%121W / 263L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day73.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$88
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (74 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 384 -14.9% -23.0% 32% 31% -20.8%
≤30d 384 -14.9% -23.0% 32% 31% -20.8%
≤90d 384 -14.9% -23.0% 32% 31% -20.8%
all 384 -14.9% -23.0% 32% 31% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.0% 31% -20.8%
10% ← realistic here -30.4% 31% -28.4%
15% -37.1% 29% -35.3%
20% -43.3% 29% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.73 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses121 / 263
Open positions0
Markets (closed)384 / 384
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day73.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 384 Trades
no open positions (261 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +152%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +173%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +198%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 540 history records