Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a9b…e2e2
sports · 186 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$17 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses14 / 171
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)185 / 186
History coverage159d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 1 History 185 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 98¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 31 $24 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? May 18 $32 −$1 -2%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Mar 31 $428 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 31 $67 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 31 $196 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Mar 30 $27 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 30 $98 $0 -0%
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? Mar 30 $87 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Mar 29 $29 $0 +0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 29 $68 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Mar 29 $86 $0 -0%
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? Mar 28 $32 $0 -0%
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? Mar 28 $72 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 28 $31 $0 -0%
Netanyahu out by April 30? Mar 27 $95 $0 -0%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Mar 27 $213 $0 -0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? Mar 27 $47 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Mar 27 $37 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 26 $81 −$2 -3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? Mar 26 $61 $0 -0%
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 26 $29 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Mar 25 $30 $0 -0%
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 25 $31 $0 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee Mar 25 $35 $0 -0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Mar 24 $36 $0 +0%
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? Mar 24 $64 $0 -0%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Mar 23 $131 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 23 $69 $0 -0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Mar 23 $67 $0 -0%
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 22 $33 $0 +0%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 22 $122 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? Mar 22 $30 $0 +0%
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Mar 22 $34 $0 -0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Mar 21 $37 $0 -0%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Mar 21 $35 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 21 $200 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 20 $146 −$1 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 20 $162 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 19 $255 $0 -0%
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Mar 19 $41 $0 -0%
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 18 $31 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Mar 18 $31 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 18 $42 $0 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? Mar 17 $76 −$1 -1%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Mar 17 $35 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? Mar 16 $115 $0 -0%
Netanyahu out by March 31? Mar 16 $38 −$1 -1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? Mar 15 $35 $0 -0%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Mar 13 $166 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 12 $75 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 28% −$2
other 23% −$4
politics 22% −$6
economics 8% $0
crypto 7% −$2
culture 5% −$1
world 5% −$1
tech 2% $0
finance 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $26 1h
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 97¢ $24 12d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 96¢ $24 13d
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 92¢ $31 25d
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $32 26d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $29 73d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $29 73d
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL No 95¢ $34 73d
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY No 96¢ $34 74d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 97¢ $27 74d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $27 74d
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? SELL Yes 95¢ $27 74d
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? BUY Yes 95¢ $27 74d
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $31 74d
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $31 74d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $26 74d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $26 75d
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 98¢ $33 75d
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 98¢ $33 75d
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 96¢ $29 75d
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 96¢ $29 75d
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $32 75d
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $32 75d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $25 75d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $25 76d
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $28 76d
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $28 76d
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 93¢ $32 76d
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 93¢ $8 76d
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 93¢ $23 76d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 -1.0% -10.5% 50% 0% -10.6%
≤90d 48 -0.3% -9.8% 12% 0% -9.7%
all 185 -0.1% -9.6% 8% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.10 · official $26.10 (match) · 696 history records