Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:27:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a9f…9a77
crypto · 46 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$48 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses30 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day94.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days+$48
14 days+$48
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$20 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$9 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$21 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$34 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$20 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$27 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$12 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $29 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $27 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $26 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $27 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $8 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $26 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $33 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $24 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $25 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +1.2% -8.5% 65% 59% -4.5%
≤30d 46 +1.2% -8.5% 65% 59% -4.5%
≤90d 46 +1.2% -8.5% 65% 59% -4.5%
all 46 +1.2% -8.5% 65% 59% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 59% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 46% -13.7%
15% -25.2% 39% -22.0%
20% -32.5% 33% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 113 history records