trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -72.6% | -75.2% | 17% | 17% | -70.8% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 41% | 41% | +3.9% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 37% | 37% | +7.2% |
| all | 27 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 37% | 37% | +7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -26.0% | 37% | +7.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -33.1% | 37% | -3.0% |
| 15% | -39.6% | 37% | -12.4% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 37% | -21.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $200 | $125 | −$75 (-38%) |
| Matt Olson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | Over | 26¢ | 22¢ | $97 | $84 | −$13 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Jun 20 | $19,482 | −$19,120 | -98% |
| Germany leading at halftime? | Jun 20 | $10,527 | −$10,400 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $2,037 | −$2,001 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $13,966 | +$9,034 | +65% |
| Yordan Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $816 | −$800 | -98% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $25,333 | −$25,002 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 14 | $9,832 | −$9,690 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,462 | −$1,440 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $13,089 | +$22,911 | +175% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 13 | $4,062 | −$667 | -16% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $50,000 | +$39,606 | +79% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $21,624 | −$21,051 | -97% |
| UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main | Jun 07 | $4,140 | −$4,080 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $5,100 | +$10,034 | +197% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $10,189 | +$16,810 | +165% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $12,246 | +$15,466 | +126% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $15,207 | +$12,542 | +82% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $348 | −$340 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 11 | $938 | −$922 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $9,124 | +$7,525 | +82% |
| UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims) | May 10 | $94 | −$91 | -97% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 09 | $520 | −$512 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 01 | $850 | −$835 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $9,113 | +$6,388 | +70% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $5,197 | +$4,285 | +82% |
| Will Byron Buxton win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby? | Apr 26 | $919 | −$919 | -100% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Apr 26 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |