Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:29:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7A 0x7aa6…b8ef crypto 1485 markets active 4d ago coverage 31d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$71 (+1%) realized +$71 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate95%1417W / 68L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day47.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$325
14 days−$243
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -37.5% -43.5% 60% 1% -33.6%
≤30d 1118 -1.3% -10.7% 94% 2% -10.3%
≤90d 1485 -0.2% -9.7% 95% 1% -9.6%
all 1485 -0.2% -9.7% 95% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover47.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 1% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$6 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1417 / 68
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1485 / 1485
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day47.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1485 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records