Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:10:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7aa8…0027
sports · 13 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$168 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$388 · open −$220
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$66
Realized+$388
Unrealized−$220
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions6
Markets (closed)7 / 13
History coverage2d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 6 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$392
7 days+$388
14 days+$388
30 days+$388
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 27¢ 26¢ $47 $45 −$3 (-6%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ $43 $16 −$27 (-64%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 47¢ $89 $4 −$85 (-96%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 19¢ $30 $1 −$29 (-97%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 33¢ $37 $1 −$36 (-98%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 37¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-99%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 42¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $47 +$108 +229%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $152 +$163 +107%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $37 +$46 +125%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $203 −$105 -51%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $264 +$280 +106%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $102 −$4 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$20
other 43% +$148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+37.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +52.0% +37.5% 57% 57% +34.8%
≤30d 7 +52.0% +37.5% 57% 57% +34.8%
≤90d 7 +52.0% +37.5% 57% 57% +34.8%
all 7 +52.0% +37.5% 57% 57% +34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +37.5% 57% +34.8%
10% +24.3% 57% +21.9%
15% +12.3% 57% +10.1%
20% +1.3% 57% -0.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.94 · official $65.94 (match) · 21 history records