Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:54:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7ac2…57e8
crypto · 45 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$1 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses24 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)45 / 45
History coverage76d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Mar 30 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +0.6% -9.0% 55% 55% -7.7%
≤30d 44 +0.6% -9.0% 55% 55% -7.7%
≤90d 45 -1.7% -11.0% 53% 53% -9.6%
all 45 -1.7% -11.0% 53% 53% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 53% -9.6%
10% -19.5% 53% -18.3%
15% -27.3% 53% -26.2%
20% -34.4% 53% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 71 history records