trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 0% | 0% | -13.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 0% | 0% | -13.5% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 0% | 0% | -13.5% |
| all | 7 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 0% | 0% | -13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 0% | -13.6% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -21.8% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -29.4% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -36.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Over | 57¢ | 58¢ | $100 | $103 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $94 | $93 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $99 | −$5 | -5% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 20 | $101 | −$3 | -3% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Dec 30 | $47 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Nov 25 | $120 | −$3 | -2% |
| Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on | Nov 24 | $227 | −$7 | -3% |
| Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 55 and 60 million views on | Nov 24 | $247 | −$20 | -8% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Nov 24 | $215 | −$8 | -4% |