Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:50:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7ae9…5ff8
sports · 891 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$183 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$363 · open −$117
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$363
Unrealized−$117
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses544 / 342
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$114
Open positions5
Markets (closed)886 / 891
History coverage191d
Avg bet$177
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 5 History 886 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$205
7 days−$359
14 days−$356
30 days−$356
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 11¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $25 −$3 -11%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $41 +$9 +22%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $41 +$19 +48%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $29 +$1 +2%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 -1%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Jun 14 $18 −$8 -42%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 -4%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $7 $0 -5%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $7 $0 -8%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $7 $0 -4%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 14 $18 −$5 -30%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 14 $7 $0 -4%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$5 +109%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $7 −$1 -8%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 -6%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $13 −$1 -7%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $10 +$2 +17%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin Jun 14 $11 $0 -3%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $7 $0 -6%
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 Jun 14 $13 −$1 -8%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $7 −$1 -15%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $7 −$1 -14%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 -6%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $7 $0 -8%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $7 $0 -5%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $7 $0 -5%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 −$7 -71%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $7 −$1 -12%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 14 $17 −$1 -4%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo Jun 14 $10 −$1 -10%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 −$7 -72%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Jun 14 $30 −$4 -13%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa Jun 14 $35 +$64 +183%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $11 +$5 +40%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $10 −$1 -10%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $20 −$1 -6%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $10 $0 -5%
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Jun 14 $30 −$5 -18%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 81% +$85
crypto 6% +$9
sports 5% −$416
tech 4% −$174
weather 2% $0
culture 1% +$1
politics 1% +$19
economics 0% $0
finance 0% −$5
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 3¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 5¢ $9 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 SELL Under 80¢ $4 1h
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group SELL Power Rangers 88¢ $5 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi SELL Suzan Lamens 69¢ $5 1h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $8 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 76¢ $6 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 SELL Under 59¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 68¢ $6 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 66¢ $6 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 64¢ $6 1h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) SELL Germany 71¢ $5 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 63¢ $6 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner SELL Solary 100¢ $11 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel SELL Diane Parry 92¢ $10 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) SELL Minnesota Twins 62¢ $6 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs SELL Solary 96¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $11 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 61¢ $6 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 54¢ $6 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 55¢ $6 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Jesper de Jong 100¢ $12 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin SELL Anhelina Kalinina 87¢ $11 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 54¢ $6 1h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 SELL Under 45¢ $5 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 44¢ $6 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Curaçao 45¢ $6 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 43¢ $6 1h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 SELL Over 54¢ $7 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 SELL Over 44¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 438 -5.6% -14.6% 38% 31% -13.8%
≤30d 469 -5.1% -14.1% 42% 29% -13.6%
≤90d 575 -3.6% -12.8% 52% 26% -10.8%
all 886 -2.1% -11.5% 61% 17% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 17% -9.7%
10% -19.9% 13% -18.4%
15% -27.7% 10% -26.3%
20% -34.8% 8% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.42 · official $0.42 (match) · 2787 history records