Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T15:10:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
7A 0x7af5…9ad2 crypto 1599 markets active 1h ago coverage 37d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$841 (+1%) realized +$841 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate99%1581W / 17L
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day44.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$104
7 days−$139
14 days+$52
30 days+$426
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$748
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 274 -0.9% -10.3% 97% 2% -10.5%
≤30d 1338 +0.6% -9.0% 99% 3% -8.9%
≤90d 1598 +0.9% -8.7% 99% 2% -8.6%
all 1598 +0.9% -8.7% 99% 2% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 2% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 1% -17.4%
15% -25.4% 1% -25.4%
20% -32.8% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$49 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.9 per $1 lost it wins $1.9
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$841
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1581 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1598 / 1599
History coverage37d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day44.0
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1598 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3197 history records