Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:44:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b0b…1145
crypto · 14 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses9 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day19.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -17.4% -25.2% 64% 36% -25.2%
≤30d 14 -17.4% -25.2% 64% 36% -25.2%
≤90d 14 -17.4% -25.2% 64% 36% -25.2%
all 14 -17.4% -25.2% 64% 36% -25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.2% 36% -25.2%
10% -32.4% 21% -32.4%
15% -38.9% 14% -38.9%
20% -44.9% 7% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 38 history records