Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:37:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
7B 0x7b1c…ab79 crypto 139 markets active 3d ago coverage 125d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$186 (+12%) realized +$186 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +3% what you keep after slip
Net edge+3%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate43%60W / 79L
Drawdown61%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day2.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$40
14 days+$78
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$75
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +23.8% +12.0% 48% 46% -2.6%
≤30d 134 +16.4% +5.4% 44% 41% -3.0%
≤90d 137 +14.6% +3.7% 43% 40% -3.6%
all 139 +13.7% +2.9% 43% 40% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.9% 40% -3.7%
10% -7.0% 32% -12.9%
15% -16.0% 29% -21.3%
20% -24.2% 23% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +14% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +13% → late +15% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$6 · ×1.52 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

125d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$186
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses60 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)139 / 139
History coverage125d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 139 Trades
no open positions (59 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $52 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$5 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$20 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$24 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$29 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$16 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$14 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$10 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$15 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $49 +$14 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$39 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $40 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $39 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $13 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $7 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $45 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $24 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $27 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $12 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $13 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $13 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 292 history records