Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:42:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7B 0x7b36…a9d3 crypto 619 markets active 4d ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (259 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$196 (-3%) realized −$196 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate55%339W / 280L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day259.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$242
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (259 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 473 -3.0% -12.2% 53% 30% -13.4%
≤30d 619 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 37% -13.1%
≤90d 619 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 37% -13.1%
all 619 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 37% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover259.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 37% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 32% -21.4%
15% -28.6% 26% -29.0%
20% -35.6% 17% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$196
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses339 / 280
Open positions0
Markets (closed)619 / 619
History coverage7d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day259.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 619 Trades
no open positions (114 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2258 history records