Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:20:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b45…9583
crypto · 27 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$6 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses16 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage25d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$73
7 days+$73
14 days+$82
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$47 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$14 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$8 +81%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? Jun 02 $10 +$3 +30%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 24 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 24 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 21 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 21 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$14
other 5% −$20
tech 2% +$3
world 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $16 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +21.0% +9.5% 70% 70% +10.7%
≤30d 27 +1.2% -8.5% 59% 59% -10.7%
≤90d 27 +1.2% -8.5% 59% 59% -10.7%
all 27 +1.2% -8.5% 59% 59% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 59% -10.7%
10% -17.2% 59% -19.3%
15% -25.2% 48% -27.1%
20% -32.5% 44% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 55 history records