Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:25:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b4a…3b84
sports · 146 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$30,632 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,587 · open −$827
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,592
Realized+$3,587
Unrealized−$827
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses77 / 64
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$3,353
Open positions5
Markets (closed)141 / 146
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1,646
Trades / day341.1
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,952
7 days+$1,507
14 days+$3,587
30 days+$3,587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Top Esports 44¢ 50¢ $2,322 $2,590 +$268 (+12%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 31¢ 0¢ $625 $1 −$624 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 12¢ 0¢ $137 $1 −$137 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Top Esports 43¢ 0¢ $222 $0 −$222 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 75¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$112 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 19¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $568 −$449 -79%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $8,715 +$809 +9%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $4,346 −$562 -13%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $190 +$360 +189%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 14 $1,406 +$740 +53%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $190 −$173 -91%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,425 −$829 -58%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $261 +$811 +311%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $63 +$64 +102%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $413 +$67 +16%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $632 +$31 +5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $165 −$14 -9%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $668 −$44 -7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$40 +79%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $35 +$15 +42%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $271 −$271 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2,677 +$536 +20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $8,818 −$1,268 -14%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $587 +$571 +97%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $387 +$294 +76%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $23 −$22 -96%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $279 +$5 +2%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $2,831 +$310 +11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $397 −$384 -97%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $4,815 −$217 -4%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,768 +$764 +43%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 13 $862 +$72 +8%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $146 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $44 −$15 -35%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $52 +$16 +31%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $262 −$262 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $466 −$466 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $466 −$227 -49%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $2,524 +$135 +5%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $29 +$12 +41%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $652 +$84 +13%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $6,674 +$1,449 +22%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $93 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,080 −$168 -16%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $357 +$148 +42%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,029 −$530 -52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,778 −$135 -8%
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $433 −$24 -5%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $488 −$63 -13%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $170 −$130 -77%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $93 −$93 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2,810
other 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 46¢ $2 38m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 46¢ $4 40m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 46¢ $9 40m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 46¢ $86 41m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 44¢ $8 41m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 44¢ $341 45m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 47¢ $95 46m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 46¢ $226 54m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $1,495 54m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 50¢ $16 55m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 50¢ $111 55m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 43¢ $4 55m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 43¢ $1,017 55m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $23 58m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $493 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 36¢ $110 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 36¢ $99 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 45¢ $2,745 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 1¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 3¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 3¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 3¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 3¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 3¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 6¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 6¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 6¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 9¢ $3 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 9¢ $3 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $1,353 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -6.0% -15.0% 51% 32% -8.5%
≤30d 141 -6.4% -15.3% 55% 29% -8.1%
≤90d 141 -6.4% -15.3% 55% 29% -8.1%
all 141 -6.4% -15.3% 55% 29% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover341.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 29% -8.1%
10% -23.4% 18% -16.9%
15% ← realistic here -30.8% 12% -24.9%
20% -37.6% 7% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,591.64 · official $2,591.64 (match) · 3500 history records