trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 62% | 50% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 67% | 61% | -18.9% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 63% | 58% | -19.0% |
| all | 39 | -27.7% | -34.5% | 46% | 44% | -43.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.5% | 44% | -43.5% |
| 10% | -40.8% | 41% | -48.9% |
| 15% | -46.5% | 26% | -53.8% |
| 20% | -51.8% | 13% | -58.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | No | 67¢ | 66¢ | $1,165 | $1,156 | −$9 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Corners | Under | 81¢ | 80¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Celtics vs. Trail Blazers | Celtics | 70¢ | 0¢ | $1,079 | $0 | −$1,079 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Hawks | Timberwolves | 63¢ | 0¢ | $899 | $0 | −$899 (-100%) |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 | Over | 44¢ | 0¢ | $63 | $0 | −$63 (-100%) |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers | Clippers | 61¢ | 0¢ | $689 | $0 | −$689 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Thunder | 76¢ | 0¢ | $673 | $0 | −$673 (-100%) |
| Devils vs. Utah: O/U 5.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $1,463 | $0 | −$1,463 (-100%) |
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5) | Seattle Storm | 53¢ | 0¢ | $674 | $0 | −$674 (-100%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 | Under | 78¢ | 0¢ | $1,610 | $0 | −$1,610 (-100%) |
| California vs. Hawaii | California | 49¢ | 0¢ | $99 | $0 | −$99 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Thunder | 58¢ | 0¢ | $1,456 | $0 | −$1,456 (-100%) |
| Pistons vs. Jazz | Pistons | 78¢ | 0¢ | $2,356 | $0 | −$2,356 (-100%) |
| Flyers vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 53¢ | 0¢ | $449 | $0 | −$449 (-100%) |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | No | 77¢ | 0¢ | $862 | $0 | −$862 (-100%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $590 | $0 | −$590 (-100%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) | Jun 14 | $192 | +$53 | +27% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $269 | +$82 | +31% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $28 | +$6 | +20% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1,502 | +$107 | +7% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $593 | −$590 | -100% |
| Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever | Jun 12 | $1,101 | +$263 | +24% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 | Jun 11 | $64 | −$63 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $425 | −$16 | -4% |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | Jun 06 | $308 | +$134 | +44% |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) | Jun 06 | $453 | +$117 | +26% |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | Jun 04 | $615 | +$240 | +39% |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5 | Jun 02 | $694 | +$576 | +83% |
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5) | Jun 02 | $685 | −$675 | -99% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 | May 30 | $1,620 | −$1,610 | -99% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty | May 30 | $1,111 | +$531 | +48% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 30 | $1,474 | −$1,456 | -99% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5 | May 30 | $978 | +$472 | +48% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 | May 30 | $968 | +$484 | +50% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 29 | $26 | −$25 | -95% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | Jan 17 | $862 | −$862 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Hawks | Dec 31 | $899 | −$899 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Trail Blazers | Dec 28 | $1,079 | −$1,079 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Jazz | Dec 27 | $2,356 | −$2,356 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | Dec 27 | $1,743 | +$612 | +35% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Dec 25 | $673 | −$673 | -100% |
| California vs. Hawaii | Dec 24 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 | Dec 24 | $122 | +$122 | +100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next elec | Dec 23 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Dec 23 | $164 | −$164 | -100% |
| Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | Dec 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Penguins | Dec 23 | $24 | +$24 | +100% |
| Patriots vs. Ravens | Dec 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | Dec 23 | $11 | +$9 | +82% |
| 49ers vs. Colts | Dec 23 | $601 | +$270 | +45% |
| Sabres vs. Devils | Dec 22 | $5 | +$1 | +23% |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 | Dec 22 | $9 | −$1 | -6% |
| Devils vs. Utah: O/U 5.5 | Dec 20 | $1,463 | −$1,463 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Canadiens | Dec 16 | $449 | −$449 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers | Dec 15 | $689 | −$689 | -100% |