Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b52…06a1
world · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$14
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses2 / 28
Open positions10
Markets (closed)30 / 39
Avg bet$320
Trades / day254.6
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 10 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 95¢ 95¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No 96¢ 96¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 97¢ 97¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 85¢ 85¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 74¢ 75¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -262%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $14 $0 -0%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Jun 12 $64 $0 -0%
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Jun 11 $53 $0 -0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 11 $79 $0 -0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $41 $0 -0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 11 $32 $0 -0%
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats Jun 09 $10 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 08 $35 $0 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 08 $2,934 +$6 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $183 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 06 $14 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 06 $7 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 05 $91 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 05 $7 $0 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 03 $9 $0 -0%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Jun 01 $26 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? May 31 $9 $0 -0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 31 $54 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 31 $261 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 30 $9 $0 -0%
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? May 30 $8 $0 -0%
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? May 30 $8 $0 -0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 30 $17 $0 -0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 30 $17 $0 -0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 29 $17 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 71% +$4
politics 24% $0
other 5% $0
finance 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 84¢ $5 7m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 85¢ $5 8m
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $5 23m
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? BUY No 97¢ $5 23m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 32m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 33m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 44m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 44m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 56m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 56m
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $5 1h
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 88¢ $5 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 3h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -5.3% -14.3% 11% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 30 -6.8% -15.7% 7% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 30 -6.8% -15.7% 7% 0% -9.4%
all 30 -6.8% -15.7% 7% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover254.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 0% -18.1%
15% -31.1% 0% -26.0%
20% -37.9% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.29 · official $11.16 · 3500 history records