Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b55…8f95
crypto · 118 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,919 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,919 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,919
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses77 / 117
Open positions0
Markets (closed)194 / 118
History coverage1d
Avg bet$177
Trades / day3381.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,919
7 days−$1,919
14 days−$1,919
30 days−$1,919
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$38 -68488%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$112 -111826%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$21 -32628%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$20 -41346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$32 -79096%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$509
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $14 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $13 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-35.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 -28.5% -35.3% 40% 28% -16.4%
≤30d 194 -28.5% -35.3% 40% 28% -16.4%
≤90d 194 -28.5% -35.3% 40% 28% -16.4%
all 194 -28.5% -35.3% 40% 28% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3381.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.3% 28% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -41.5% 12% -24.4%
15% -47.2% 3% -31.7%
20% -52.3% 2% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records