Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:59:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b55…01c6
sports · 400 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,785 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,882 · open −$110
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$3,882
Unrealized−$110
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses105 / 290
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions5
Markets (closed)395 / 400
History coverage233d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 5 History 395 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$493
7 days−$493
14 days−$493
30 days−$493
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? Yes 43¢ 82¢ $20 $39 +$19 (+93%)
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $40 $4 −$36 (-91%)
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $60 $3 −$57 (-95%)
Epstein client list released by June 30? Yes 13¢ 2¢ $20 $3 −$17 (-85%)
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 22¢ 2¢ $20 $2 −$18 (-91%)
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-08? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Clippers Bucks 13¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C RUSTEC 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Boise State vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Nevada Wolf Pack 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $217 $0 −$217 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
76ers vs. Cavaliers 76ers 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Truth Social" in March? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
US recession in 2025? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Clippers Raptors 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Bulls Rockets 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Pistons Hawks 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Nets vs. Lakers Nets 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Epstein client list released in 2025? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors UC Riverside Highlanders 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $197 −$150 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $306 −$100 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $305 +$107 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $153 +$35 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$21 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $153 −$150 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $246 −$239 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $235 −$30 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$20 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $56 −$53 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$26 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -95%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$67 +650%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$60 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$14 +210%
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Mar 31 $20 +$20 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Mar 31 $30 −$30 -98%
Cavaliers vs. Jazz Mar 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Suns vs. Grizzlies Mar 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Wizards vs. Warriors Mar 28 $60 −$60 -100%
Nets vs. Lakers Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Mar 28 $20 −$20 -99%
Bulls vs. Thunder Mar 28 $90 −$90 -100%
Pelicans vs. Raptors Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Clippers vs. Pacers Mar 28 $50 −$50 -100%
Jazz vs. Nuggets Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Rockets vs. Grizzlies Mar 28 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Mar 28 $133 −$63 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Mar 27 $120 −$20 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Mar 27 $40 −$39 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Mar 27 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Mar 27 $50 −$49 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Mar 27 $100 −$98 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Mar 26 $200 +$90 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Mar 26 $60 +$62 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Mar 26 $200 +$218 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Mar 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Mar 26 $420 −$376 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Mar 26 $122 +$84 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% −$1,518
crypto 35% −$1,976
other 7% −$508
world 3% −$178
politics 3% +$381
economics 1% −$123
weather 0% −$20
tech 0% −$20
culture 0% −$20
finance 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 57¢ $10 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 63¢ $10 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 62¢ $10 54m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 62¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $207 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $413 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $124 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $122 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $101 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 28¢ $45 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 73¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $101 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -0.7% -10.1% 46% 38% -32.8%
≤30d 26 -0.7% -10.1% 46% 38% -32.8%
≤90d 142 -32.5% -38.9% 31% 28% -28.7%
all 395 -21.7% -29.1% 27% 25% -26.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.1% 25% -26.0%
10% -35.9% 24% -33.1%
15% -42.1% 22% -39.5%
20% -47.8% 20% -45.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.91 · official $49.91 (match) · 933 history records