Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:13:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b74…0482
sports · 61 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$961 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,805 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$186
Realized+$1,805
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses19 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$1,084
Open positions4
Markets (closed)57 / 61
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,536
Trades / day1910.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,805
7 days+$1,805
14 days+$1,805
30 days+$1,805
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 8¢ 8¢ $95 $89 −$6 (-6%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 69¢ 42¢ $75 $46 −$29 (-38%)
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots Yes 55¢ 50¢ $29 $26 −$3 (-9%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 5¢ 4¢ $29 $20 −$9 (-30%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 92¢ 92¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 90¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 58¢ 57¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5,833 +$359 +6%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $6,984 +$839 +12%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $2,700 −$361 -13%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $1,648 −$55 -3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $19 +$81 +426%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $165 −$165 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 13 $3 −$1 -49%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 13 $5 +$3 +61%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 13 $92 +$203 +221%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 13 $177 +$206 +116%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 13 $195 −$195 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $358 +$86 +24%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $17 +$232 +1329%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $62 +$187 +300%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $63 +$337 +535%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $193 −$193 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $55 +$445 +809%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $5,182 +$1,595 +31%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $6,177 −$27 -0%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $5,001 +$987 +20%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $3,088 −$149 -5%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $4,651 −$115 -2%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $1,553 −$18 -1%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $4,682 −$692 -15%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $4,716 +$793 +17%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $56 +$44 +79%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $54 +$46 +85%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 12 $78 −$19 -25%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 12 $52 +$24 +46%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,805
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 92¢ $3 12m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 8¢ $5 13m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 8¢ $1 13m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 8¢ $26 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 30¢ $4 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 69¢ $119 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 69¢ $112 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 69¢ $119 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 56¢ $3 14m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 43¢ $14 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 43¢ $7 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 43¢ $7 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 43¢ $15 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 47¢ $85 16m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 91¢ $162 16m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 91¢ $162 16m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 91¢ $162 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 59¢ $87 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 59¢ $103 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 59¢ $103 16m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 8¢ $116 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 39¢ $21 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 39¢ $22 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 39¢ $13 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 39¢ $9 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 56¢ $3 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 56¢ $3 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 57¢ $17 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 57¢ $3 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 57¢ $14 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +28.4% +16.2% 33% 30% -7.4%
≤30d 57 +28.4% +16.2% 33% 30% -7.4%
≤90d 57 +28.4% +16.2% 33% 30% -7.4%
all 57 +28.4% +16.2% 33% 30% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1910.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.2% 30% -7.4%
10% +5.1% 23% -16.3%
15% ← realistic here -5.1% 19% -24.3%
20% -14.4% 18% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $186.28 · official $185.44 (match) · 3500 history records