Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:41:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b7a…3e93
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses18 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day119.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -85%
Czechia to score first vs. Korea Republic? Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$7
other 3% −$3
sports 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -1.5% -10.9% 46% 33% -15.1%
≤30d 39 -1.5% -10.9% 46% 33% -15.1%
≤90d 39 -1.5% -10.9% 46% 33% -15.1%
all 39 -1.5% -10.9% 46% 33% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover119.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 33% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 23% -23.2%
15% -27.2% 23% -30.6%
20% -34.3% 15% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 140 history records