trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 17 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 65% | 53% | +3.8% |
| all | 17 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 65% | 53% | +3.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 53% | +3.8% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 53% | -6.2% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 24% | -15.2% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 6% | -23.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | No | 21¢ | 20¢ | $150 | $143 | −$7 (-5%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 43¢ | 8¢ | $600 | $112 | −$488 (-81%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $378 | $37 | −$342 (-90%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | No | 14¢ | 14¢ | $34 | $33 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | May 08 | $264 | +$74 | +28% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 04 | $662 | −$296 | -45% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | May 03 | $104 | −$15 | -15% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 03 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | May 03 | $515 | +$148 | +29% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | May 03 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | Apr 30 | $104 | −$100 | -96% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Apr 28 | $404 | +$140 | +35% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | Apr 28 | $290 | −$290 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Apr 26 | $1,296 | +$330 | +25% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | Apr 25 | $336 | +$121 | +36% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? | Apr 25 | $572 | +$211 | +37% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | Apr 25 | $300 | +$96 | +32% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? | Apr 22 | $300 | +$146 | +49% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Apr 21 | $275 | +$488 | +178% |