Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:11:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
7B 0x7b93…cd11 crypto 1624 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,933 (+1%) realized +$1,933 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate94%1520W / 104L
Whale WR94%big bets
Drawdown88%max
Avg bet$134per market
Trades / day87.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days−$350
14 days−$938
30 days+$329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$329
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 -2.4% -11.7% 89% 16% -14.2%
≤30d 1624 +0.6% -9.0% 94% 11% -9.4%
≤90d 1624 +0.6% -9.0% 94% 11% -9.4%
all 1624 +0.6% -9.0% 94% 11% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 11% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 3% -18.1%
15% -25.7% 2% -26.0%
20% -33.0% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
84% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 94% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$109 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,933
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1520 / 104
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1624 / 1624
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$134
Trades / day87.0
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1624 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records