trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 55% | 45% | +4.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 55% | 45% | +4.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 55% | 45% | +4.4% |
| all | 11 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 55% | 45% | +4.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.3% | 45% | +4.4% |
| 10% | -6.5% | 27% | -5.6% |
| 15% | -15.6% | 27% | -14.7% |
| 20% | -23.8% | 18% | -23.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 35¢ | 40¢ | $120 | $135 | +$15 (+13%) |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 88¢ | $120 | $123 | +$3 (+2%) |
| Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 92¢ | $120 | $112 | −$8 (-6%) |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $60 | $61 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | $60 | $60 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 58¢ | 57¢ | $60 | $59 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $60 | $41 | −$19 (-31%) |
| Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 92¢ | 98¢ | $30 | $32 | +$2 (+7%) |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 | Jun 22 | $61 | +$40 | +66% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $31 | +$24 | +78% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Jun 21 | $61 | +$12 | +20% |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 19 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Jun 19 | $61 | −$8 | -14% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $61 | −$15 | -25% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Jun 19 | $61 | −$15 | -24% |
| Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | Jun 19 | $123 | +$54 | +44% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 19 | $242 | +$32 | +13% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | Jun 18 | $61 | +$4 | +7% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $61 | −$1 | -2% |