trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +93.6% | +75.1% | 100% | 100% | +67.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +21.3% | +9.7% | 89% | 33% | +33.7% |
| all | 14 | +6.7% | -3.5% | 86% | 21% | +30.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.5% | 21% | +30.3% |
| 10% | -12.7% | 21% | +17.8% |
| 15% | -21.2% | 21% | +6.5% |
| 20% | -28.9% | 21% | -4.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $668 | $673 | +$6 (+1%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | No | 41¢ | 40¢ | $250 | $241 | −$9 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $363 | +$266 | +73% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $156 | +$178 | +114% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $139 | +$141 | +101% |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | May 18 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | May 18 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | May 18 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 6? | May 18 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $168 | −$166 | -99% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February? | Feb 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Amazon reach $320 in January? | Feb 03 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Netflix reach $455 in January? | Feb 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | Feb 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Jan 06 | $27 | $0 | +0% |