Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:10:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7bac…c521
crypto · 322 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$74 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$68 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized+$68
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses150 / 171
Open positions1
Markets (closed)321 / 322
History coverage1d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day2801.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 321 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$68
7 days+$68
14 days+$68
30 days+$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 41¢ 49¢ $28 $34 +$6 (+20%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $28 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$17 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $45 +$17 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$8 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $158 +$29 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$15 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$10 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$2 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $132 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $64 +$11 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$5 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $147 −$2 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $64 +$9 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $93 +$28 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$7 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$24 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $114 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$11 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$9 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$16 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $174 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$5 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$14 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $57 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$4 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $123 −$21 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$13 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$12 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $120 −$15 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $95 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$7 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$15 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $62 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$11 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$11 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $95 −$24 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$5 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$4 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$21 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$7 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$8 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $14 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $14 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $15 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $16 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $0 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 321 -8.0% -16.8% 47% 32% -9.2%
≤30d 321 -8.0% -16.8% 47% 32% -9.2%
≤90d 321 -8.0% -16.8% 47% 32% -9.2%
all 321 -8.0% -16.8% 47% 32% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2801.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 32% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 20% -17.9%
15% -32.0% 14% -25.8%
20% -38.7% 9% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.61 · official $33.61 (match) · 3500 history records