trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +113.8% | +93.5% | 100% | 100% | +95.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 60% | 60% | -21.9% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +9.6% | -0.8% | 74% | 70% | -10.3% |
| all | 31 | +18.7% | +7.4% | 74% | 71% | -1.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.4% | 71% | -1.3% |
| 10% | -2.9% | 55% | -10.8% |
| 15% | -12.3% | 39% | -19.4% |
| 20% | -20.9% | 35% | -27.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $10 | +$13 | +129% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $8 | +$8 | +99% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$10 | +32% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$4 | +24% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 11 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Jun 11 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $25 | +$5 | +19% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 02 | $21 | +$14 | +65% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k? | May 28 | $17 | +$3 | +19% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | May 28 | $18 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | May 20 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07? | May 13 | $23 | +$5 | +23% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $21 | +$13 | +62% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | May 07 | $15 | +$1 | +8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 07 | $21 | +$14 | +67% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18? | Apr 21 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 21 | $15 | +$28 | +188% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 18 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu | Apr 10 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 10 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Mar 30 | $11 | +$13 | +117% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 23 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Mar 23 | $17 | +$7 | +43% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? | Mar 23 | $24 | +$26 | +108% |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 20 | $13 | +$13 | +104% |
| Rockets vs. Hornets | Feb 20 | $26 | +$19 | +72% |
| 76ers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 16 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Feb 07 | $85 | +$96 | +113% |