Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7bb7…44f2
crypto · 353 markets active 41d ago
0.0score
+$7,173 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,173 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,173
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses279 / 74
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)353 / 353
Avg bet$3,840
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 353 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $368 $0 −$368 (-100%)
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $2,799 $0 −$2,799 (-100%)
Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $734 $0 −$734 (-100%)
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $873 $0 −$873 (-100%)
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $732 $0 −$732 (-100%)
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? No 17¢ 0¢ $4,319 $0 −$4,319 (-100%)
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? May 09 $3,344 +$8,635 +258%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 02 $60 −$59 -97%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? May 02 $27,245 +$27 +0%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? Apr 07 $92 −$92 -100%
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? Mar 27 $732 −$732 -100%
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 04 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Feb 28 $1,680 −$1,106 -66%
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by January 31? Feb 28 $21 +$2 +10%
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? Feb 11 $4,319 −$4,319 -100%
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? Feb 09 $873 −$873 -100%
US government shutdown Saturday? Jan 31 $3,276 +$907 +28%
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? Jan 30 $735 −$734 -100%
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Jan 30 $20,000 +$161 +1%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 25 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? Jan 25 $28,387 +$1,384 +5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? Jan 22 $216 −$216 -100%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 12 $335 −$333 -100%
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 12 $246 −$246 -100%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 11 $368 −$368 -100%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? Jan 09 $3,922 −$2,417 -62%
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship? Jan 08 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship? Jan 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship? Jan 05 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship? Jan 05 $10,730 +$286 +3%
Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship? Jan 05 $207 $0 +0%
Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship? Jan 03 $21 −$21 -100%
Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31? Jan 01 $11 −$11 -98%
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? Jan 01 $354 −$354 -100%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? Jan 01 $1,430 −$1,430 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? Jan 01 $1,800 −$1,800 -100%
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? Jan 01 $995 −$939 -94%
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Dec 28 $28,770 +$424 +2%
Lighter Airdrop on December 24? Dec 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Base launch a token in 2025? Dec 28 $205 −$201 -98%
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Dec 26 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? Dec 26 $1,456 +$163 +11%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? Dec 14 $1,316 +$69 +5%
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Dec 13 $260 −$260 -100%
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Dec 12 $1,720 −$1,720 -100%
Weed rescheduled in 2025? Dec 11 $446 −$106 -24%
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13? Dec 11 $2,749 −$2,698 -98%
Will the Jets win the AFC Championship? Dec 10 $15 −$12 -85%
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? Dec 10 $1,345 −$1,345 -100%
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Dec 10 $660 −$566 -86%
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Dec 10 $829 −$323 -39%
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8? Dec 08 $8,982 −$8,982 -100%
Will the Titans win the AFC Championship? Dec 05 $27 −$25 -92%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? Dec 05 $144 −$144 -100%
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 202 Dec 05 $573 −$573 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$6,541
other 9% +$7,354
economics 9% −$1,944
politics 4% +$726
tech 4% +$5,111
world 1% +$2,872
sports 0% −$407
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $60 40d
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 65d
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? BUY Yes 2¢ $34 65d
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? BUY Yes 2¢ $57 65d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $4 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $96 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $132 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $60 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $184 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $8 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $30 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $32 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $69 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $74 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $24 77d
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $11 77d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $3,651 78d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $123 78d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $150 78d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $13 78d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 5 -8.3% -17.1% 40% 20% +12.8%
all 353 -8.6% -17.3% 79% 8% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 8% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 6% -17.7%
15% -32.5% 4% -25.7%
20% -39.1% 3% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records