Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:17:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7bc5…e552
crypto · 157 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$68 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42 · open +$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$724
Realized+$42
Unrealized+$27
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses88 / 60
Open positions9
Markets (closed)148 / 157
History coverage3d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day198.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 9 History 148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$42
14 days+$42
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No 74¢ 78¢ $370 $392 +$22 (+6%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 84¢ 84¢ $168 $167 −$1 (-1%)
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No 44¢ 48¢ $68 $73 +$5 (+7%)
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 65¢ 66¢ $38 $38 +$1 (+3%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? Yes 46¢ 44¢ $18 $18 −$1 (-4%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$15 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$13 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $103 +$36 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$8 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$12 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$6 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$40
other 18% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $14 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 148 -1.3% -10.7% 59% 54% -8.3%
≤30d 148 -1.3% -10.7% 59% 54% -8.3%
≤90d 148 -1.3% -10.7% 59% 54% -8.3%
all 148 -1.3% -10.7% 59% 54% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover198.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 54% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 41% -17.1%
15% -27.1% 28% -25.1%
20% -34.2% 18% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $724.09 · official $721.59 (match) · 688 history records