Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7bcf…ffdf
crypto · 52 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$47 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses15 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage55d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Apr 21 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Apr 21 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Apr 21 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Apr 21 $1 +$4 +396%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Apr 21 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Apr 20 $10 +$67 +673%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Apr 20 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Apr 20 $6 +$21 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Apr 19 $5 +$7 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Apr 19 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Apr 19 $2 −$2 -93%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026? Apr 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Apr 19 $2 +$25 +1233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Apr 19 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Apr 19 $1 +$7 +680%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Apr 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Apr 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Apr 19 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Apr 19 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 19 $5 +$8 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Apr 19 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Apr 19 $7 +$4 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$57
politics 4% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $8 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $20 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 54d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 54d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $77 54d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -62.5% -66.0% 25% 25% -42.6%
≤30d 4 -62.5% -66.0% 25% 25% -42.6%
≤90d 52 +6.8% -3.3% 29% 27% +8.7%
all 52 +6.8% -3.3% 29% 27% +8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.3% 27% +8.7%
10% -12.6% 27% -1.7%
15% -21.0% 25% -11.2%
20% -28.8% 25% -19.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 109 history records