Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7bf2…698b
crypto · 1294 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$449 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$449 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$449
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses844 / 475
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1319 / 1294
History coverage18d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day157.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1319 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$140
7 days−$273
14 days−$365
30 days−$449
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 40¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 95¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 60¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 51¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 65¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 74¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 38¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 45¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 40¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 81¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 40¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 72¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 75¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 68¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 95¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$11 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$12 -248%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$6 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Leandro Rie Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$315
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 615 -11.4% -19.8% 74% 16% -19.8%
≤30d 1319 -13.4% -21.6% 64% 23% -16.7%
≤90d 1319 -13.4% -21.6% 64% 23% -16.7%
all 1319 -13.4% -21.6% 64% 23% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover157.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.6% 23% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.1% 13% -24.7%
15% -36.0% 4% -32.0%
20% -42.3% 2% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records