Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:40:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7bfb…9109
other · 14 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$98 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$98
14 days−$98
30 days−$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? Jun 12 $1,655 −$17 -1%
Will George Pickens play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27? Jun 12 $16 −$1 -6%
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will Maya Joint be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 11 $611 −$18 -3%
Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 11 $25 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +55%
Will George Pickens play for Washington Commanders in 2026-27? Jun 11 $1,996 −$15 -1%
Will Kyler Murray be traded? Jun 11 $145 −$4 -3%
Will George Pickens play for Cleveland Browns in 2026-27? Jun 10 $230 −$7 -3%
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? Jun 10 $20,535 +$1 +0%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next? Jun 09 $1,237 −$36 -3%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Rams next? Jun 09 $36 −$1 -3%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next? Jun 09 $85 $0 -0%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next? Jun 08 $438 −$5 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 76% +$1
other 24% −$104
crypto 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL No 99¢ $1,480 1h
Will George Pickens play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27? SELL Yes $0 2h
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes $1 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $13 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $13 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $13 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $8 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $8 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $8 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $8 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $8 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $8 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $8 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $8 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $8 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL No 100¢ $56 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY No 100¢ $1,554 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $1 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $0 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $0 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $0 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $0 2h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $1 3h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $2 3h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $7 3h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $8 3h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $7 3h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $8 3h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? SELL Yes $7 3h
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes $8 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +2.0% -7.7% 14% 7% -9.9%
≤30d 14 +2.0% -7.7% 14% 7% -9.9%
≤90d 14 +2.0% -7.7% 14% 7% -9.9%
all 14 +2.0% -7.7% 14% 7% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover232.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 7% -9.9%
10% -16.5% 7% -18.5%
15% ← realistic here -24.6% 7% -26.4%
20% -32.0% 7% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 945 history records