Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:52:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7c08…b881 crypto 1382 markets active 1d ago coverage 112d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$30 (+0%) realized +$30 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate77%1062W / 320L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day16.9pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$2
14 days−$6
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$31
other 1% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -20.8% -28.4% 62% 62% -16.7%
≤30d 123 -7.1% -15.9% 73% 73% -9.7%
≤90d 828 -18.2% -26.0% 64% 30% -14.6%
all 1382 -3.9% -13.0% 77% 36% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 36% -10.1%
10% -21.4% 15% -18.7%
15% -29.0% 9% -26.6%
20% -35.9% 6% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

112d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1062 / 320
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1382 / 1382
History coverage112d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day16.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1382 Trades
no open positions (35 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3397 history records