Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:22:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7c1c…f824 crypto 1339 markets active 4h ago coverage 78d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 77d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$67 (-3%) realized −$67 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate73%1138W / 415L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day22.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$300
7 days−$288
14 days−$292
30 days−$292
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 419 -49.6% -54.4% 43% 13% -43.8%
≤30d 588 -35.6% -41.7% 57% 15% -36.7%
≤90d 1553 -15.3% -23.4% 73% 21% -22.0%
all 1553 -15.3% -23.4% 73% 21% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 21% -22.0%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 6% -29.4%
15% -37.4% 3% -36.3%
20% -43.6% 1% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -28% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.35 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

78d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1138 / 415
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1553 / 1339
History coverage78d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day22.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1553 Trades
no open positions (320 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records