Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T15:04:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7c27…c869 crypto 1433 markets active 1h ago coverage 51d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 51d only
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,478 (-6%) realized −$1,478 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate67%954W / 479L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day54.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days+$32
14 days+$9
30 days−$755
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,459
sports 0% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -18.9% -26.6% 57% 57% -4.1%
≤30d 659 -2.7% -12.0% 67% 40% -15.8%
≤90d 1433 -4.6% -13.7% 67% 50% -14.8%
all 1433 -4.6% -13.7% 67% 50% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 50% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 32% -22.9%
15% -29.5% 18% -30.4%
20% -36.4% 10% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$11 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

51d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,478
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses954 / 479
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1433 / 1433
History coverage51d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1433 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$12 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 28 $62 +$28 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 28 $77 +$27 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 28 $25 −$24 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $77 +$28 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $52 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 27 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 27 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 27 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$6 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 25 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 25 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $90 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $62 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $77 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $74 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $62 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $13 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $27 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $19 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records