trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 50% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 43% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 43% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 27 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 44% | 0% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.3% | 0% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -22.5% | 0% | -20.8% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 0% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 0% | -35.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $39 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | May 27 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $117 | +$1 | +1% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 23 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 20 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%? | May 24 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | May 12 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | May 09 | $24 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Tennessee Titans? | May 08 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sweden qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? | May 08 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 07 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | May 07 | $26 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will BSW be part of the next German government? | Apr 08 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in March? | Apr 08 | $26 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 08 | $1 | $0 | -20% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 07 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runo | Apr 06 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana reach $190 in April? | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | -29% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? | Apr 05 | $25 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Can | Apr 03 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'A Working Man' gross more than 17m on opening weekend? | Apr 02 | $26 | $0 | +1% |