Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:56:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c36…1547
sports · 124 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$24
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses59 / 50
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions15
Markets (closed)109 / 124
History coverage15d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 15 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$0
14 days−$10
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 61¢ 91¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+49%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 43¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No 96¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 80¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 43¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giants KT Wiz 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 84¢ 83¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 39¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 94¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 46¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Cabo Verde? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Will Germany go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 70¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-34%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 39¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-88%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card) Carlston Harris 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty Jun 14 $1 $0 +43%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2 +$2 +107%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 14 $1 $0 +37%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 +$3 +129%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 -12%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 -3%
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 $0 -8%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$2 +143%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +85%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +35%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Will Paraguay go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +54%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +53%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 +$1 +24%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Hurricanes win the 2026 Stanley Cup 4-2 be the exact series outco Jun 12 $1 $0 -44%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% +$2
other 22% −$15
weather 11% −$11
crypto 4% −$2
world 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 51¢ $2 10m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty SELL Washington Mystics 21¢ $2 41m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner SELL Ursa 99¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner BUY Ursa 63¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner SELL Ursa 67¢ $3 1h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 14¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner BUY Ursa 25¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $1 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 26¢ $1 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 66¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 95¢ $1 1h
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY No 80¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 39¢ $1 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 31¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SELL GenOne 100¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SELL GenOne 99¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 47¢ $1 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 47¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 39¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $2 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 89¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 88¢ $1 2h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 25¢ $1 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 55¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Cabo Verde? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 8h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? SELL Yes 27¢ $1 8h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 8h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 28¢ $1 8h
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 84¢ $1 8h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 61¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -1.8% -11.2% 58% 53% -9.9%
≤30d 109 -6.4% -15.3% 54% 48% -21.3%
≤90d 109 -6.4% -15.3% 54% 48% -21.3%
all 109 -6.4% -15.3% 54% 48% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 48% -21.3%
10% -23.4% 39% -28.8%
15% -30.8% 30% -35.7%
20% -37.6% 19% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.84 · official $13.84 (match) · 252 history records