trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 35 | +22.8% | +11.1% | 40% | 40% | -3.8% |
| ≤30d | 35 | +22.8% | +11.1% | 40% | 40% | -3.8% |
| ≤90d | 35 | +22.8% | +11.1% | 40% | 40% | -3.8% |
| all | 35 | +22.8% | +11.1% | 40% | 40% | -3.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +11.1% | 40% | -3.8% |
| 10% | +0.4% | 37% | -13.0% |
| 15% | -9.3% | 37% | -21.4% |
| 20% | -18.2% | 29% | -29.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane: 2+ goals | Yes | 15¢ | 44¢ | $50 | $145 | +$95 (+189%) |
| Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals | Yes | 23¢ | 23¢ | $100 | $100 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia? | Yes | 12¢ | 18¢ | $35 | $51 | +$16 (+46%) |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? | Yes | 12¢ | 16¢ | $35 | $45 | +$10 (+29%) |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Croatia? | Yes | 7¢ | 11¢ | $25 | $39 | +$14 (+57%) |
| Declan Rice: 1+ goals | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $202 | +$131 | +65% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $102 | +$232 | +228% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | Jun 16 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$574 | +1116% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $57 | +$234 | +413% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $102 | +$98 | +97% |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Jun 16 | $41 | +$63 | +156% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals | Jun 16 | $26 | +$15 | +58% |
| Spread: IR Iran (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $92 | −$89 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $96 | −$4 | -5% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $66 | +$30 | +46% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $76 | −$74 | -98% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | Jun 15 | $102 | −$26 | -25% |
| Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia? | Jun 15 | $166 | −$165 | -99% |
| Darwin Núñez: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt? | Jun 15 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $204 | +$87 | +43% |
| Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $41 | +$95 | +231% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Egypt? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $87 | +$32 | +37% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $83 | −$52 | -63% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $51 | −$40 | -78% |
| Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $181 | +$20 | +11% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $99 | +$87 | +88% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $101 | +$80 | +79% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $98 | −$96 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |