trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 50% | 50% | +21.8% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 50% | 50% | +21.8% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 50% | 50% | +21.8% |
| all | 26 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 50% | 50% | +21.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.8% | 50% | +21.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -18.4% | 46% | +10.2% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 42% | -0.5% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 38% | -10.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 74¢ | 72¢ | $372 | $361 | −$11 (-3%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 43¢ | 40¢ | $182 | $173 | −$9 (-5%) |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Germany | 48¢ | 44¢ | $100 | $92 | −$8 (-8%) |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Germany | 26¢ | 22¢ | $50 | $41 | −$9 (-17%) |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Over | 37¢ | 24¢ | $60 | $40 | −$20 (-34%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Netherlands | 20¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-12%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $20 | $15 | −$5 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $281 | +$216 | +77% |
| Brazil to win the second half? | Jun 29 | $81 | +$85 | +105% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 29 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 29 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 29 | $96 | +$120 | +126% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan? | Jun 29 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Jun 28 | $257 | +$184 | +72% |
| Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada? | Jun 28 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 1 Austria? | Jun 28 | $10 | −$5 | -45% |
| Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina? | Jun 28 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 28 | $20 | +$25 | +123% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $51 | +$44 | +86% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $61 | +$43 | +70% |
| Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 1 Uzbekistan? | Jun 28 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal? | Jun 27 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $31 | +$4 | +12% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $49 | +$13 | +27% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 27 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 | Jun 27 | $31 | +$89 | +291% |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5 | Jun 27 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5 | Jun 27 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | Jun 27 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $10 | +$12 | +114% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $96 | +$84 | +87% |